Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Wilmington
Colonial Athletic
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#213
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#213
Pace60.2#321
Improvement-1.7#248

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#210
Improvement-3.0#301

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#215
Improvement+1.2#106
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 18   @ Florida L 60-77 4%     0 - 1 -0.2 +7.9 +8.1
  Nov 16, 2010 228   Liberty W 69-64 OT 64%     1 - 1 -1.5 -3.3 -3.0
  Nov 18, 2010 98   Morehead St. W 60-58 34%     2 - 1 +3.3 +0.6 +0.8
  Nov 20, 2010 1   @ Ohio St. L 41-81 1%     2 - 2 -15.4 +10.7 +12.1
  Nov 23, 2010 297   @ N.C. A&T L 79-84 OT 60%     2 - 3 -10.5 -2.8 -2.9
  Nov 29, 2010 158   @ George Washington W 73-69 26%     3 - 3 +7.7 +2.0 +1.9
  Dec 04, 2010 34   @ George Mason L 52-80 6%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -13.4 +6.6 +6.6
  Dec 12, 2010 261   Wake Forest W 81-69 62%     4 - 4 +6.0 -2.0 -3.4
  Dec 18, 2010 331   Radford W 64-50 90%     5 - 4 -3.2 -8.4 -8.0
  Dec 20, 2010 236   Illinois St. L 60-62 OT 67%     5 - 5 -9.5 -3.8 -3.7
  Dec 22, 2010 254   @ Campbell L 56-57 48%     5 - 6 -3.5 -1.6 -1.0
  Dec 30, 2010 328   Toledo W 64-42 90%     6 - 6 +5.3 -8.2 -7.3
  Jan 03, 2011 216   @ William & Mary W 61-59 38%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +2.2 +0.0 +0.2
  Jan 05, 2011 217   Georgia St. W 59-56 63%     8 - 6 2 - 1 -3.2 -3.1 -3.0
  Jan 08, 2011 83   Virginia Commonwealth L 64-82 30%     8 - 7 2 - 2 -15.5 +0.8 +0.9
  Jan 12, 2011 200   Delaware W 76-53 60%     9 - 7 3 - 2 +17.5 -2.3 -2.1
  Jan 15, 2011 101   @ James Madison L 54-63 17%     9 - 8 3 - 3 -1.8 +2.8 +4.0
  Jan 19, 2011 140   @ Hofstra L 57-66 22%     9 - 9 3 - 4 -4.0 +1.9 +2.6
  Jan 22, 2011 272   Towson W 66-60 75%     10 - 9 4 - 4 -4.0 -5.2 -4.5
  Jan 24, 2011 61   @ Old Dominion L 43-58 9%     10 - 10 4 - 5 -3.2 +5.0 +6.0
  Jan 26, 2011 191   Northeastern L 66-70 57%     10 - 11 4 - 6 -8.6 -2.2 -2.6
  Jan 29, 2011 83   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 70-79 14%     10 - 12 4 - 7 -0.1 +4.4 +4.0
  Feb 02, 2011 217   @ Georgia St. L 58-63 OT 38%     10 - 13 4 - 8 -4.9 -0.4 +0.3
  Feb 05, 2011 216   William & Mary W 91-81 62%     11 - 13 5 - 8 +3.8 -2.1 -3.6
  Feb 08, 2011 34   George Mason L 63-78 15%     11 - 14 5 - 9 -6.7 +3.9 +3.7
  Feb 12, 2011 272   @ Towson W 95-93 OT 53%     12 - 14 6 - 9 -1.6 -1.3 -2.3
  Feb 15, 2011 109   Drexel W 51-43 38%     13 - 14 7 - 9 +8.3 -0.3 +1.0
  Feb 19, 2011 215   Charleston Southern L 58-63 62%     13 - 15 -11.1 -3.3 -3.1
  Feb 23, 2011 140   Hofstra L 64-71 44%     13 - 16 7 - 10 -8.3 -1.0 -0.7
  Feb 26, 2011 191   @ Northeastern L 68-78 33%     13 - 17 7 - 11 -8.3 +0.5 +0.8
  Mar 04, 2011 217   Georgia St. L 52-58 51%     13 - 18 -9.1 -2.0 -1.3
Projected Record 13.0 - 18.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%